Statistical modelling

1.Course titleStatistical modelling
2.CodeF18L3S163
3.Study programme—
4.Organizer of the study programme (unit, institute, department)Faculty of Computer Science and Engineering
5.Degree level (first, second, third cycle)First cycle
6.Academic year / semester6 / Summer
7.Number of ECTS credits6
8.Teacher—
9.Prerequisites for enrolling in the courseВеројатност и статистика или Бизнис статистика
10.Course objectives (competences)The students should learn how to make the statistical analysis of data, using the classical and Bayesian approach. They should set suitable statistical models and check and interpret the obtained results. The accent will be on the use of open source software (R, Python) for building models based on real data, using the presented theory. The course should prepare the students for data analysis in different research fields.
11.Course contentEvery topic will be illustrated with corresponding real world examples.
Introduction to data modelling. General methods for simulation of random variables. Correlation and linear regression., estimation of functional dependance of data. Parametric models of regression functions. Simple linear regression. Analysis of variance (ANOVA). Multiple regression. Logistic regression, binary and multiple logistic regression. Choice of classification model. Principle component analysis,log-linear models. Nonparametric estimation of regression functions and classification:nearest neighbour method, naive Bayes. Support vector machine. Comparison of the methods. Bayesian methods for parameter estimation. Models for collection of data for Bayesian modelling.
12.Learning methodsLectures using presentations, interactive lectures, exercises (using equipment and software packages), teamwork, case studies, guest lectures, independent preparation and defense of a project assignment and a seminar paper.
13.Total available time6 ECTS x 30 hours = 180 hours
14.Distribution of the available time30 + 45 + 15 + 15 + 75 = 180 hours
15.Forms of teaching activities
15.1.Lectures – theoretical teaching30 hours
15.2.Exercises (laboratory, auditory), seminars, team work45 hours
16.Other forms of activities
16.1.Project assignments15 hours
16.2.Individual assignments15 hours
16.3.Home study75 hours
17.Grading
17.1.Tests0 points
17.2.Seminar paper / project (presentation: written and oral)15 points
17.3.Activity and participation10 points
17.4.Final exam80 points
18.Grading criteria (points / grade)
up to 50 points5 (five) (F)
from 51 to 60 points6 (six) (E)
from 61 to 70 points7 (seven) (D)
from 71 to 80 points8 (eight) (C)
from 81 to 90 points9 (nine) (B)
from 91 to 100 points10 (ten) (A)
19.Requirements for signature and taking the final examActivities 15.2 and 16.1 have been completed.
20.Language of instructionMacedonian and English
21.Method of monitoring teaching qualityinternal evaluation and survey mechanism
22.Literature
22.1.Required literature
No. Author Title Publisher Year
22.2.Additional literature
No. Author Title Publisher Year